The Cardinal Nation blog

Brian Walton's news and commentary on the St. Louis Cardinals (TM) and their minor league system

Early Line has Cardinals at 87.5 Wins, Cubs at 89

The Atlantis Casino in Reno, Nevada is one of the first to post its over/under totals for 2016 regular-season wins in Major League Baseball (hat tip to ESPN).

If reality follows their initial assessment, the National League Central could be another tight three-way race this coming season.

Betting lines are set in such a way that the house anticipates an equal measure of bets will be placed on the over as the under. If there is an imbalance in actual betting and/or external factors change, the lines are shifted accordingly in an attempt to find the point for a new balance.

Interestingly, the San Francisco Giants, a perennial winner but a team that missed the 2015 post-season, is currently on top of the heap at 90 wins. The next three clubs are between 87.5 (St. Louis Cardinals) and 89 wins (Chicago Cubs), with five more teams right behind at 87 victories (including Pittsburgh and defending champ Kansas City).

In other words, at least in early oddsmaking, the same cluster of three National League Central teams that battled it out in 2015 are in a very narrow spread of three wins (87 through 89) for 2016. At the other end of the NLC spectrum, one can place a bet on the Reds and Brewers finishing more than 20 games under .500 during the upcoming season as potentially two of the worst five teams in the game.

If you see it differently, now is the time to act!

2016 Major League Baseball Win Totals (per Atlantis Casino)

Team Wins
San Francisco Giants 90
Chicago Cubs 89
New York Mets 88
St. Louis Cardinals 87.5
Kansas City Royals 87
Los Angeles Dodgers 87
Pittsburgh Pirates 87
Toronto Blue Jays 87
Washington Nationals 87
Texas Rangers 86
Boston Red Sox 85.5
Houston Astros 85.5
Detroit Tigers 85
New York Yankees 85
Arizona Diamondbacks 84.5
Cleveland Indians 84
Seattle Mariners 83
Los Angeles Angels 82.5
Baltimore Orioles 80.5
Chicago White Sox 80.5
Miami Marlins 80.5
Tampa Bay Rays 78
Minnesota Twins 77.5
Oakland Athletics 75.5
San Diego Padres 74
Milwaukee Brewers 71.5
Cincinnati Reds 71
Colorado Rockies 68.5
Philadelphia Phillies 66.5
Atlanta Braves 65

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