The Atlantis Casino in Reno, Nevada is one of the first to post its over/under totals for 2016 regular-season wins in Major League Baseball (hat tip to ESPN).
Betting lines are set in such a way that the house anticipates an equal measure of bets will be placed on the over as the under. If there is an imbalance in actual betting and/or external factors change, the lines are shifted accordingly in an attempt to find the point for a new balance.
Interestingly, the San Francisco Giants, a perennial winner but a team that missed the 2015 post-season, is currently on top of the heap at 90 wins. The next three clubs are between 87.5 (St. Louis Cardinals) and 89 wins (Chicago Cubs), with five more teams right behind at 87 victories (including Pittsburgh and defending champ Kansas City).
In other words, at least in early oddsmaking, the same cluster of three National League Central teams that battled it out in 2015 are in a very narrow spread of three wins (87 through 89) for 2016. At the other end of the NLC spectrum, one can place a bet on the Reds and Brewers finishing more than 20 games under .500 during the upcoming season as potentially two of the worst five teams in the game.
If you see it differently, now is the time to act!
2016 Major League Baseball Win Totals (per Atlantis Casino)
|San Francisco Giants||90|
|New York Mets||88|
|St. Louis Cardinals||87.5|
|Kansas City Royals||87|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||87|
|Toronto Blue Jays||87|
|Boston Red Sox||85.5|
|New York Yankees||85|
|Los Angeles Angels||82.5|
|Chicago White Sox||80.5|
|Tampa Bay Rays||78|
|San Diego Padres||74|
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