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Oddsmakers handicap 2014 division races and post-season

Lowest odds for the six division races in Major League Baseball, the league championships and World Series include a number of familiar names.

It is the time of year when looks ahead at the upcoming season seem very natural. Last week, we reviewed Bovada’s ( 2014 Regular Season Win Odds for all 30 Major League Baseball teams. This time around, we take a first journey into the 2014 divisional, league and World Series odds across MLB.

To make things even more interesting, I added in italics the teams that had the best odds in each category last spring at this time. In addition, the clubs that actually won in 2013 are bolded.

Odds to win 2014 World Series
Odds to win AL Pennant
Odds to win NL Pennant
Los Angeles Dodgers 13/2 Detroit Tigers 17/4 Los Angeles Dodgers 11/4
St. Louis Cardinals 8/1 Boston Red Sox 6/1 St. Louis Cardinals 19/4
Detroit Tigers 9/1 Tampa Bay Rays 6/1 Washington Nationals 11/2
Boston Red Sox 12/1 New York Yankees 13/2 San Francisco Giants 15/2
Tampa Bay Rays 12/1 Texas Rangers 8/1 Atlanta Braves 9/1
Washington Nationals 12/1 Oakland Athletics 9/1 Cincinnati Reds 10/1
New York Yankees 14/1 Los Angeles Angels 11/1 Pittsburgh Pirates 14/1
San Francisco Giants 16/1 Seattle Mariners 14/1 Philadelphia Phillies 16/1
Texas Rangers 16/1 Baltimore Orioles 16/1 Arizona Diamondbacks 22/1
Oakland Athletics 18/1 Kansas City Royals 16/1 San Diego Padres 25/1
Atlanta Braves 20/1 Toronto Blue Jays 16/1 Chicago Cubs 28/1
Los Angeles Angels 20/1 Cleveland Indians 20/1 Milwaukee Brewers 28/1
Cincinnati Reds 22/1 Chicago White Sox 25/1 New York Mets 33/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 28/1 Minnesota Twins 50/1 Colorado Rockies 40/1
Seattle Mariners 28/1 Houston Astros 100/1 Miami Marlins 50/1
Baltimore Orioles 33/1
Kansas City Royals 33/1
Philadelphia Phillies 33/1
Toronto Blue Jays 33/1
Cleveland Indians 40/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 50/1
Chicago White Sox 50/1
San Diego Padres 50/1
Chicago Cubs 66/1
Milwaukee Brewers 66/1
Colorado Rockies 75/1
New York Mets 75/1
Miami Marlins 100/1
Minnesota Twins 100/1
Houston Astros 200/1

The two top teams in the National League last season, the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals are viewed to be there again, though the Dodgers are on top this time. Both clubs have better odds to win the World Series than the Detroit Tigers, the club with the lowest odds in the AL. Defending World Champion Boston is only fourth-best.

Odds to Win AL East

Odds to Win AL Central
Odds to Win AL West
New York Yankees 12/5 Detroit Tigers 4/9 Texas Rangers 7/4
Boston Red Sox 11/5 Kansas City Royals 4/1 Oakland Athletics 2/1
Tampa Bay Rays 11/5 Cleveland Indians 7/1 Los Angeles Angels 9/4
Toronto Blue Jays 7/1 Chicago White Sox 8/1 Seattle Mariners 7/1
Baltimore Orioles 7/1 Minnesota Twins 33/1 Houston Astros 50/1
Odds to Win NL East
Odds to Win NL Central
Odds to Win NL West
Washington Nationals 1/1 St. Louis Cardinals 4/7 Los Angeles Dodgers 1/2
Atlanta Braves 5/4 Cincinnati Reds 15/4 San Francisco Giants 13/4
Philadelphia Phillies 15/2 Pittsburgh Pirates 15/4 Arizona Diamondbacks 8/1
New York Mets 18/1 Milwaukee Brewers 14/1 San Diego Padres 10/1
Miami Marlins 25/1 Chicago Cubs 25/1 Colorado Rockies 16/1
Bold = 2013 champion
Italics = 2013 pre-season favorite

In the American League, the New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers have ascended to the top of their respective divisions. The Washington Nationals, a major disappointment in 2013, is viewed as being able to slip past the Atlanta Braves this year.

Interestingly, only three of the six division winners from 2013 have the best odds in 2014. Two of the three were also considered the favorites last spring – the Detroit Tigers in the AL East and the Dodgers in the NL West. The third is the Cardinals, a club that passed pre-season odds favorite Cincinnati.

2013 low odds 2013 winner 2014 low odds
World Series Detroit Boston Dodgers
AL Detroit Boston Detroit
NL Atlanta St. Louis Dodgers
AL East Toronto Boston Yankees
AL Central Detroit Detroit Detroit
AL West Oakland Oakland Texas
NL East Atlanta Atlanta Washington
NL Central Cincinnati St. Louis St. Louis
NL West Dodgers Dodgers Dodgers

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Brian Walton

Brian Walton runs The Cardinal Nation and The Cardinal Nation Blog, covering the St. Louis Cardinals and minor league system.
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One Response to “Oddsmakers handicap 2014 division races and post-season”

  1. JumboShrimp says:

    Good decision of Jaime Garcia to get advice on therapy from Dr. Andrews.
    The team may be under some self=imposed pressure to get Garcia pitching, so as to earn his salary. Mo, in effect, suggested shoulder pain is Garcia’s new normal. Easy for him to say, since not his pain.
    Garcia can learn from Raffy Furcal, who used the remainder of his contract as rehab time. He can also learn from LHP Mark Mulder, who was not able to re=establish himself after a shoulder injury, IIRC. Furthermore, the Cards gave him a new two year deal, IIRC, during which he contributed zilch.
    Garcia is going to get paid during 2014-15, no matter what. The only question is what he does with these two years. He can spend this year doing exercises for Dr. Andrews to strengthen the shoulder in hopes of being able to relieve next year and establish some market value so he gets an offer to pitch in 2016. Garcia needs to look after number one.

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