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Brian Walton's news and commentary on the St. Louis Cardinals (TM) and their minor league system

Puig pulls ahead of Miller in NL Rookie of Year odds

Back in April, the folks at Bovada.lv provided a set of odds on a number of Major League Baseball-related races. This week, they provided a second refresh to the initial odds, making it a good time to compare and contrast changes over time.

Because of Yasiel Puig-mania, the oddsmakers at Bovada.lv initially set lines on the National League Rookie of the Year race in June. At that point, St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Shelby Miller led the way, but even before he was forced from Wednesday’s game after two pitches, he yielded the bookmaker’s edge to the Dodgers outfielder.

Unfortunately because of Miller’s injury, viewers were robbed of the opportunity to see the top two NL candidates battle directly.

Over history, the Dodgers have 12 Rookies of the Year with six Cardinals named. However, the most recent Dodger was named in 1995, Todd Hollingsworth. Albert Pujols was the last Cardinal, in 2001.

In the 2013 American League race, there is Wil Myers and everyone else. The former Royals farmhand is now a Tampa Bay Ray.

NL Rookie of the Year April June Aug
Yasiel Puig (LAD) 3/2 3/2 4/7
Shelby Miller (STL) 1/1 1/1 3/1
Jose Fernandez (MIA) NL NL 3/1
Julio Teheran (ATL) 25/1 25/1 12/1
Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD) 5/1 5/1 20/1
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) 10/1 10/1
Jedd Gyorko (SD) 20/1 20/1
AL Rookie of the Year Aug
Wil Myers (TB) 1/2
Any other player ` 2/1

Other individual lines follow.

Notice the very favorable odds on Andrew McCutchen’s NL MVP candidacy with Joey Votto next in line. Yadier Molina has dropped back in the pack. A year after winning the Triple Crown, but still coming in second in the AL MVP vote, Miguel Cabrera increases his bid.

Odds to win the 2013 AL MVP June Aug Odds to win the 2013 NL MVP June Aug
Miguel Cabrera (DET) 1/1 1/5 Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 12/1 5/7
Chris Davis (BAL) 3/1 5/1 Joey Votto (CIN) 7/1 3/2
Mike Trout (LAA) 7/1 5/1 Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) 5/1 5/1
Clay Buchholz (BOS) 10/1 Carlos Gomez (MIL) 18/1 15/1
Robinson Cano (NYY) 10/1 Carlos Gonzalez (COL) 6/1
Adam Jones (BAL) 15/1 Troy Tulowitzki (COL) 6/1
Prince Fielder (DET) 25/1 Bryce Harper (WSH) 10/1
Evan Longoria (TB) 25/1 Jean Segura (MIL) 10/1
Joe Mauer (MIN) 25/1 Justin Upton (ATL) 10/1
Mike Napoli (BOS) 25/1 Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) 12/1
Adrian Beltre (TEX) 33/1 Buster Posey (SF) 14/1
Yu Darvish (TEX) 33/1 Ryan Braun (MIL) 15/1
Albert Pujols (LAA) 33/1 Domonic Brown (PHI) 18/1
Yadier Molina (STL) 18/1
Carlos Beltran (STL) 25/1
Dexter Fowler (COL) 25/1
Carl Crawford (LAD) 33/1
Starling Marte (PIT) 33/1
Pablo Sandoval (SF) 33/1
Shin-Soo Choo (CIN) 33/1
David Wright (NYM) 33/1

In the NL Cy Young Award category, Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw remains on top, with Cardinal Adam Wainwright right after. Detroit’s Max Scherzer is the new AL favorite of the bettors with former leader Clay Buchholz injured.

Odds to win the 2013 AL Cy Young June Aug Odds to win the 2013 NL Cy Young June Aug
Max Scherzer (DET) 12/1 4/7 Clayton Kershaw (LAD) 4/1 2/3
Felix Hernandez (SEA) 12/1 2/1 Adam Wainwright (STL) 5/1 4/1
Yu Darvish (TEX) 4/1 9/1 Matt Harvey (NYM) 12/1 7/1
Bartolo Colon (OAK) NL 15/1 Patrick Corbin (ARI) 5/1 10/1
Justin Masterson (CLE) 7/1 20/1 Craig Kimbrel (ATL) 20/1 10/1
Matt Moore (TB) 10/1 25/1 Francisco Liriano (PIT) NL 12/1
Hiwashi Iwakuma (SEA) 12/1 25/1 Jordan Zimmerman (WAS) 7/1 20/1
Mariano Rivera (NYY) 25/1 33/1 Jeff Locke (PIT) NL 20/1
Hiroki Kuroda (NYY) 33/1 33/1 Madison Bumgarner (SF) 15/1 25/1
Joe Nathan (TEX) 33/1 33/1 Mike Minor (ATL) 12/1 33/1
Clay Buchholz (BOS) 7/4 Shelby Miller (STL) 15/2
Justin Verlander (DET) 10/1 Lance Lynn (STL) 9/1
Jon Lester (BOS) 20/1 Cliff Lee (PHI) 10/1
C.C. Sabathia (NYY) 20/1 Mat Latos (CIN) 18/1
Anibal Sanchez (DET) 20/1 Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD) 20/1
Chris Sale (CWS) 20/1 Stephen Strasburg (WAS) 20/1
Alex Cobb (TB) 25/1 A.J. Burnett (PIT) 33/1
Derek Holland (TEX) 25/1 Jaime Garcia (STL) 33/1
Doug Fister (DET) 33/1 Jason Grilli (PIT) 33/1
Ervin Santana (KC) 50/1 Tim Hudson (ATL) 50/1
Bud Norris (HOU) 100/1 Sergio Romo (SF) 100/1
R.A. Dickey (TOR) 250/1

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25 Responses to “Puig pulls ahead of Miller in NL Rookie of Year odds”

  1. crdswmn says:

    Derrick Goold’s post game article in the PD is interesting. Not the usual post game summary stuff. He mentioned doors slamming in the clubhouse and players smacking chairs on their way out. It seems media relations went looking for Rosenthal and Holliday to talk to reporters and they had already left. So everything is not so even keel as Matheny has been making it out to be. I wonder who they are more angry at, themselves or their manager?

    It’s easy to blame the manager for bad times. We all do it. Matheny has made what I consider to be bad decisions. But I can’t lay the entire blame on him. The players have to execute. I’ve seen some pretty ugly at bats from some players lately. If a pitcher is consistently pitching you a certain way, you have to adjust. Don’t they watch video of themselves? I see some players swinging at the same out of the zone pitches consistently game after game. For Freese it is the low and away breaking ball (though he has gotten better of late). Holliday swings at breaking balls in the dirt. Craig just swings at everything.

    Some of it is just pure bad luck. The Cubs always play out of their minds when they play the Cardinals. Goold’s article covertly suggests that the Cubs were insulted when Matheny changed the rotation to pitch Wacha against them last night instead of Wainwright. Is he suggesting they played with a chip on their shoulder? I think they always do when they play the Cardinals. It’s like the World Series to them.

    Lots and lots of angry fans hurling insults at the team and at each other. Like that is going to fix things. I’m staying off of Twitter for the forseeable future. I have been unfollowed by more people in the last two weeks than I have in a year. And most of what I have said is pretty benign. Some unfollow you for even being the slightest bit negative. Others unfollow you because you don’t agree that Matheny is the worst manager on the planet or that Jon Jay should be traded or that Pete Kozma should be sent to Memphis. It has become a circus that I choose not to attend right now. It has become almost as bad over on the message board. There doesn’t seem to be an outlet to discuss things with calm, rational fans.

    Okay, vent over.

  2. Bw52 says:

    People are upset be cause of the so-called lack of fire and ho-hum attitude on the field.You are right about the crappy ABs and Matheny`s head scratching decisions at times.Also agree about the bad luck part.How many line shots or hard cround ball turned into DPs or rallykillers.Too many guys hit a funk at the same time.Its frustrating for the fans and it should be for the players.It seems that the team overachieved the 1st half.I would not be shocked if the freefall continued even after Yadi returns.I still say the Cards weaknesses will be exposed the last moth and a half of the season and the reliance on young pitchers will falter in August and September.Too much inconsistency hitting and on the mound.I think this team is lucky to finish much over a .500 record.Maybe 84-78.

  3. Bw52 says:

    A win finally.Not pretty but it counts.Still having to us the bullpen too much.

  4. crdswmn says:

    I don’t know which should irritate me more on this night. Being told I’m a bad baseball fan because I won’t genuflect to the Dodgers or that there is something wrong with me because I am not all agog about the premiere of a TV show about drug dealing. I think I belong in another time period.

    Sigh.

    • kray66 says:

      Not Cardinals related, but have you ever seen the movie Idiocracy? I highly recommend it. Written by Mike Judge, who did Office Space. I think it give us a glimpse into the future of society.

      I also hate the Dodgers. I feel bad rooting against Skip and Punto, but can’t stand Puig and most of the other highly-compensated goons.

    • blingboy says:

      If twitter affects your self image, its time to flip the switch. Just say no.

      • crdswmn says:

        My self image is just fine, thank you. Remarking about the state of society indicates nothing other than remarking about the state of society.

        But your concern is duly noted.

        • blingboy says:

          Seems like its a constant source of exasperation for you. Anyway, you should just rely on TCN and TCNB populated by us level headed inteligencia types.

          • crdswmn says:

            Constant source of exasperation? My entire life is a constant source of exasperation. And TCN and TCNB is not much better. Plenty of whining going on to go around.

            • Bw52 says:

              You don`t like other peoples opinions?Other people have the right to RANT also.

            • Nutlaw says:

              I think that this is about as chill a bunch you’ll find on the internet discussing sports. I’m sorry that you’re unhappy, but I don’t know what taking small digs at everyone is supposed to accomplish.

              • crdswmn says:

                That was meant more for the message board than here. But even so, there are times when I see posts on here that just make me shake my head. Losing streaks make people cranky.

  5. kray66 says:

    Anybody else kind of ticked off that A-Roid passed Stan on the RBI list yesterday? Stan’s name doesn’t deserve to be below anyone like him on any list.

    • crdswmn says:

      Stan’s name doesn’t deserve to be mentioned in the same sentence with that guy.

      There were a lot of angry people on the MLB website commenting on that headline. And not just Cardinal fans.

  6. Bw52 says:

    Crdswmn you don`t have to get exasperated over Kelly Shoppach anymore……………….he signed with the Pirates.

  7. JumboShrimp says:

    Glad the Pirates are up next. We need to find out if the Cards have any spunk.

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