Some St. Louis Cardinals fans are questioning the club’s management for not making an impact trade before Tuesday’s non-waiver trade deadline. Their only deal was swapping former first-rounder Zack Cox to Miami for reliever Edward Mujica.
That would imply the asking prices for many top pitchers like James Shields and even lesser ones like Jason Vargas were deemed too high, not only for St. Louis, but for whichever of the other 28 clubs were shopping as well.
That doesn’t mean there weren’t trades of big-name players as the deadline approached. I list nine recent deals below. In each case, prospects moved from one club to another.
Even though we know that all minor league systems are NOT equal, I went through the following analysis for illustration purposes, using pre-season assessments. I included the system ranking from Baseball America’s 2012 Prospect Handbook for each club that traded away prospects in these nine trades.
I then listed the ranking of the traded players within their previous system. For comparison, I also noted the names of the Cardinals prospects that hold the same ranking in St. Louis’ system.
For example, as part of the Ryan Dempster trade, the Rangers, who had the second-ranked system, sent their #8 prospect to the Cubs. St. Louis has the #12-ranked system, so the #8 Ranger may be a better prospect than the #8 Cardinal, but the Cardinals’ #8 prospect is Eduardo Sanchez, according to BA. (I chose BA because their team rankings go 30 players deep and they have system-to-system comparison ratings.)
|Traded||From||To||For||“To” system rank||Player rank||St. Louis (#12 system)|
|Edward Mujica||Marlins||Cards||3B Zack Cox||12||4||Zack Cox|
|2012 WAR = 0.0|
|Ryan Dempster||Cubs||Rangers||3B Christian Villanueva||2||8||Eduardo Sanchez|
|2012 WAR = 3.0||P Kyle Hendricks||NR|
|Zack Greinke||Brewers||Angels||SS Jean Segura||18||2||Carlos Martinez|
|2012 WAR = 2.3||P Ariel Pena||9||Matt Adams|
|P Johnny Hellweg||4||Zack Cox|
|Hunter Pence||Phillies||Giants||OF Nate Schierholtz||21||MLB|
|2012 WAR = 0.6||C Tommy Joseph||2||Carlos Martinez|
|P Seth Rosin||NR|
|Shane Victorino||Phillies||Dodgers||P Josh Lindblom||23||8||Eduardo Sanchez|
|2012 WAR = 1.3||P Ethan Martin||17||John Gast|
|PTBNL or cash|
|Jonathan Broxton||Royals||Reds||P J.C. Sulbaran||7||12||Matt Carpenter|
|2012 WAR= 1.2||P Donnie Joseph||27||Boone Whiting|
|Gaby Sanchez||Marlins||Pirates||OF Gorkys Hernandez||13||20||Tony Cruz|
|2012 WAR = (1.1)||P Kyle Kaminska||NR|
|Comp. balance draft pick|
|Francisco Liriano||Twins||White Sox||IF Eduardo Escobar||30||10||Jordan Swagerty|
|2012 WAR= (0.5)||P Pedro Hernandez||23 (SD)||David Kopp (released)|
|Wandy Rodriguez||Astros||Pirates||OF Robbie Grossman||13||8||Eduardo Sanchez|
|2012 WAR = 1.0||P Rudy Owens||16||Joe Kelly|
|P Colton Cain||13||Ryan Jackson|
|Hanley Ramirez||Marlins||Dodgers||P Nathan Eovaldi||23||3||Oscar Taveras|
|Randy Choate||P Scott McGough||NR|
|’12 WAR 1.6/0.4|
Again, I realize this work is inexact at best, but can at least serve as food for thought as to the kinds of prospects that may have been required to make comparable deals.
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