As players reported to spring training camps, the first betting lines on the number of individual team wins during the 2012 Major League season were released by the Atlantis Casino in Reno, Nev. You can see the full list here, but the National League Central participants opened as follows:
Chicago Cubs 73.5 wins
Cincinnati Reds 86.5 (-120o)
Houston Astros 62.5
Milwaukee Brewers 84.5 – initially 82.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 73.5 (-120u)
St. Louis Cardinals 87.5 (-120u)
Note the change for the Milwaukee Brewers, as Friday’s announcement that Ryan Braun will not be required to serve a suspension to start the season is taken into account. Those 50 games that the Hebrew Hammer will not miss translate into two additional wins for the 2012 Brew Crew, say Atlantis.
The numbers in the parentheses can be interpreted like this. Those wishing to bet on the over for the Reds or the under for the Pirates or Cardinals will have to risk more – $120 – to win $100.
The 87.5 wins for the Cardinals compare to their actual total of 90 victories secured on the field last season. The only other club in the NL Central that would decline year-to-year based on these lines is the other 2011 playoff club, Milwaukee. The Brewers won 96 games on their way to the NLC title.
The flipside of 62.5 wins for Houston would be 99.5 losses. Still, that would be an improvement over their 56-106 record last season. The Reds, Cubs and Pirates would also improve from 2011 if they reach their respective betting lines.
If these were to come to pass, the three 2012 NL division winners would be the Phillies (95.5), the Cardinals and the Giants (87.5). The Braves and Reds at 86.5 each, would be the co-Wild Cards.
Of course, these lines will be adjusted up and down over time as the oddsmakers try to ensure equal betting on the over and under for each team.
What do you think?
Vote below for your view of the number of Cardinals wins this season. (In choosing, consider the number of wins at which you are most comfortable. For example, selecting 87.5 means you would bet on the over at 87 wins and the under at 88 victories.
What would be your line for the 2012 Cardinals?
- 90.5 (26%, 56 Votes)
- 92.5 (16%, 33 Votes)
- 89.5 (10%, 22 Votes)
- 93.5 (9%, 19 Votes)
- 95.5 or more (8%, 16 Votes)
- 91.5 (8%, 16 Votes)
- 88.5 (5%, 11 Votes)
- 87.5 (5%, 10 Votes)
- 86.5 (4%, 8 Votes)
- 94.5 (3%, 7 Votes)
- 85.5 (2%, 5 Votes)
- 80.5 wins or less (below .500) (2%, 5 Votes)
- 84.5 (0%, 1 Votes)
- 83.5 (0%, 1 Votes)
- 82.5 (0%, 1 Votes)
- 81.5 (2%, 1 Votes)
Total Voters: 212