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Brian Walton's news and commentary on the St. Louis Cardinals (TM) and their minor league system

Sizing the NLDS impact on St. Louis’ economy

The following is a press release from The St. Louis Regional Chamber and Growth Association (RCGA). Given the reader discussion about the business side of the post-season, I thought it would be interesting to share.

Press release:

With the Cardinals in the first round of the National League playoffs, St. Louisans can eagerly anticipate both the national attention and the measurable economic benefits that post-season play will bring to the St. Louis region.

The St. Louis Regional Chamber and Growth Association’s (RCGA) Chief Economist Ruth Sergenian noted that the total economic impact of the Cardinals playoffs depends upon the number of games played here in St. Louis. If all possible games are played through the World Series, the impact would approach the impact of the All Star’s week in 2009 at over $56 million. Any added economic benefits to the region from the playoffs are above and beyond the $313.6 million impact of the 2011 Cardinals regular season.

Sergenian calculates that the economic impact of the Cardinals appearing in the Divisional Playoffs would approach $5.2 million per game. This estimate is based on the assumption that the games would draw 46,200 attendees per game. Historically, out of town visitors constitute some 40% of Cardinals attendance. The playoff’s will bring increasing attendance from the out of town visitors, as well as the media, and the MLB. Direct visitor spending is expected to reach $1.5 million per game for the division series.

In addition to direct spending by visitors, operations at Busch Stadium will boost total new direct expenditures to $2.6 million per game. There are approximately 3,000 day-of-game employees at Busch Stadium. The total direct expenditures will ripple through the local economy to generate nearly another $2.6 million in indirect and induced expenditures, to reach the total impact of almost $5.2 million. The RCGA uses an economic model called IMPLAN to develop these estimates.

The RCGA is the chamber of commerce and economic development organization for the 16-county, bi-state region. With nearly 4,000 member companies, RCGA members constitute 40% of the regional work force. The mission of the RCGA is to unite the region’s business community, and to engage dynamic business.

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125 Responses to “Sizing the NLDS impact on St. Louis’ economy”

  1. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Technically…………….. if Chris Carpenters start would have been delayed 3.5 more hrs………..it wouldn’t have been on short rest………another 18hr and it wouldn’t even have been a topic ………. commentators saw fit to point out Carp’s surprising and seemingly “sever” physical regimen between starts……………………………… there are many ways that you can look at this situation……..I won’t bore anyone with my analysis of the Physiology with its emotional ramifications and vis a versa (maybe more important)………….but it makes you wonder just what Chris is going to do with his extra 16 to 20 hrs next time around………..?

    Jamie needs to have his unhurried delivery this afternoon to survive……… the 3/4 arm slot and slider is absolutely essential for both right and left handers………. look for bunts from Utley, Rollins and Victorino……………. they will be attempting to dink him into a collapse……… there is no way he survives to the 5th inning without at least 2 runs of support and or a lead…….. without the slider…..the reaper will show even earlier…….Howard will be attempting to set up the OPO hr….I look for Ibanez to slap away also…………. they will have a plan……….do we? Maybe someone like the Brazilian, or jumbo…..maybe 52 could write up what the Cards strategy likely entails?

  2. Brian Walton says:

    Tuesday NLDS Game 3 lineup: Furcal 6; Craig 7; Pujols 3; Berkman 9; Freese 5; Molina 2; Theriot 4; Jay 8; Garcia 1.

  3. Bw52 says:

    Tampa bay and all that fine young pitching has fallen behind the Rangers again 2-0 in the 2nd inning.That old “anything can happen” in a short series gremlin is acting up again.Rangers bats beating on TB`s young arms.

  4. Bw52 says:

    MLB fined Tony for his comments regarding the umpire`s strike or lack thereoff.Not surprised at all.

  5. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Thats as sweet little lefty the Rays put in……….Garcia’s motion last year was a bit more like that, not as dramatic of course……..the arm angle is money though……….. I’m thinking thats how Tony will use Lohse…………Garcia will go to the pen after his day is through………….you might see him in a Friday game………….. lets Pray that Garcia isn’t diving at the plate …….please pray for Dave to have wisdom…. and most important of all…….lets Pray that I stop say we need to be praying……….

  6. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    AP seems “up”…………..that wouldn’t hurt……….watching Beltre his three jacks says a little.

  7. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Nice AB by Freese…………. why is he taking that second strike with the runners going????????? Boy……I know how much that stolen base hurt AP………..hes a warrior …….

    Freese turns from the first strike…….and takes little tiny steps out of the box…….little duck waddles …………. he looks as down as AP looks up…………… thats a plus………. i bet he has an error in him today…

  8. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Jamie is jamming………….. he wanted some………. theriot had a nice AB……wish he was hitting second………….. they showed a closeup if Freese in the dugout………… as a coach, if I see that look, I give him a test in the dugout……….. looks like a PTS victim………….

  9. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Garcia could go deep if we backed him………. they will touch him if we don’t……. if he gets behind..he over throws……….Hamels is aggressive at this point………..maybe Furcal catches him………

  10. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    That was a little better AB by AP………… better balance………..if he would stop guessing……he might have destroyed the high change up…………… like Howard did to Lohse…………big inning for Garcia here

  11. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    this is the Phillie team we wanted to see……………… lets put a few together……Molina/theriot/Jay put together a good first round……………

  12. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    This is not the Jamie that tunneled in Houston………….it would be so important to back him here……….he could be big all the way through if he had this trophy on his wall……….. Lets try a bunt

  13. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Thats the swing that will earn Albert a pitch he can pull……………. weak AB by Berkman……..he figured they were going to walk him and pitch to Freese……he wasn’t wrong………but thats a cheap swing to take………….. he wanted the run……..more than he wanted to see a Freese AB………… We are now on thin ice……..Jamie is young

  14. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Cross your fingers……………………………………..this is the moment

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      Got by…………….but that was a heavy stress moment for Jamie………….. I’m more worried about Mayberry now…………………we can take this game of we do something…………

  15. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    I look for Mayberry to go deep here……………………. Garcia goes for the downs with 2 strikes………. he is out of his element now…………….. Jay almost got robbed…….they were pitching around him the whole way…………they were hoping Tony might pull Garcia……….. lets see how this plays………

  16. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Tony has Dotel warm…………they call for the pinch hitter by walking Ruiz………..and then Tony plays a hunch……………………

  17. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Why waste Salas with a game tomorrow………….wheres Westbrooke………..

  18. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Bastardo is mean on lefties……….. will Tony make a move?

  19. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    They weren’t going to let Punto push something……..pounded him inside……….

  20. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    We need a single………….is that Craig ……….or is he the DP? Skip? Danny?

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      Tony is spineless…………………I bunt one in with Danny and make them face AP with a base open……….Berkman waiting………….but hey………I’m a hero////////

  21. Nutlaw says:

    Too many missed chances here.

  22. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    A baseball point for you RC………………… Craig can’t adjust his swing plane because his load move takes him from his ridiculous ready position………………he is not a situational hitter for that reason………he is batting 2nd for the wrong reasons………..he was easily baited into taking that ground ball pitch…….. and we are well aware of it……………….. poor coaching………….

  23. blingboy says:

    Gerald must have been unavailable.

  24. Nutlaw says:

    Well, they’ve been putting up a fight, at least.

  25. Bw52 says:

    Got to jump on OZswalt early tomorrow.It isn`t over yet.

  26. crdswmn says:

    That sucked.

    RC, you are jinxing us by rooting for the Cardinals. Stop it.

  27. Brian Walton says:

    14 runners stranded and a very damaging double play. Two runs weren’t going to be enough. Have to hope for a win tomorrow for a shot in Philly in Game 5. Might end up with Carp vs. Halladay.

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      Madson has always been a set up man………he locates……he has a good off speed pitch……all bad against the bunt………..all good against a 6 hitter……….. Tony’s non moves….like this was some sort of achievement party for Garcia, shows you the fundamental problem with Tony……….. I say he retires….I think he knows where he stands……………..

  28. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    We let them off………..they will crush Jackson…….the only variable is how much damage Tony allows before he makes a move………. Albert hit doubles in the gap……..earned himself a pitch to turn on……………I look for Holiday tomorrow………. don’t know if it will help……… that gets Craig out of 2nd which is how Tony gets away with it……….. how do you sit Theriot………but he has to……we need to go out to a big lead tomorrow so Tony will be challenged to screw it up………..

    • RCWarrior says:

      Pujols looked away tonight WC, he was hitting to win tonight.

      • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

        Word…………….

      • JumboShrimp says:

        Colby took the ball away in the 3 games against the Dodgers in the 2009 playoffs. Hit the ball well.

        • RCWarrior says:

          Its all I ever work with him on Jumbo. The problem is/was after last June I did what Tony wanted and let him go…..and as you see nobody else seems to be able to get through to the hard headed youngster.

          But Albert is at his best to me when he approaches hitting the way he did tonight. When he does that he can not be stopped. Albert has also upped his game. He and Tony are preparing for a serious run at this thing in 2012. Just my opinion. :)

          • JumboShrimp says:

            Back when Albert was a rook or second year player, we faced the Diamondbacks in the playoffs. They had Randy Johnson still on top of his game, a living nightmare. But Albert just took Randy the other way and clubbed a dinger to right, a Freese like HR.
            When Albert can take pitchers deep to right, he is otherworldly, because he can see the ball longer and punish it. I suspect wear and tear on his body, elbow or shoulder, may have diminished his opposite field power, requiring him to change his game.

          • JumboShrimp says:

            Colby will have risen on his pull power owing to committing early and a quick bat. Its what he knows best as a hitter, so when he slumps, he may go back to this foundation. He can improve with a more mixed approach, adjusting to situations. But this may also add more complexity and induce slumps. Its nice to get the winter off and start afresh next spring.

  29. JumboShrimp says:

    Glad I did not watch. Ouch.

    Plenty of hits and walks, only 1 DP, still only 2 runs. Pujols and Theriot strafe hits. Garcia was good. Disappointing.

  30. RCWarrior says:

    I loved the matchup yesterday and thought the Cardinals should score 6 runs or so, and they should have…….had the shadows not been so bad at Busch. :)

    I’m not as optimistic today though……I do believe that the Cards will score 5 or 6 against Roy Oswalt but I believe this is the day for Ryan Howard to bust out. So I’m thinking that it may take 7 or 8 to win this game today.

    A sinkerballer would have an advantage against the Phils imo but a hard thrower could take one in the lips if he is not careful.

    • Brian Walton says:

      I looked at Jackson’s career numbers against the Phils’ hitters, but the samples are too small to be meaningful (mostly six or fewer ABs).

      Furcal, Albert, Molina and Theriot have good nums against Oswalt (all with at least 30 ABs).

      • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

        Jackson has every reason to embellish his FA posture…………………….. however, as you will see………he’s on tour for a reason …….. to be honest, I don’t know if he gets high or what, if he goes 6 innings without giving up 3 runs………we should win that game………. can’t see it though …… I see Lohse by the 4th with a 3 run deficit……………. ??? marks……….. has AP had a change of heart………does he show up to exploit what is offered? does he lead?????

        Watching Tony’s press conference was a bit sobering………… it appears to me that he is using an unusual amount of energy to repress facial tremors …….. add the cognitive dissonance …….. I’m guessing Parkinson’s ………….. at least a very medicated control of his shingles ………… I say he is retiring………. that knowledge could easily be one of the mystery variables in the AP psyche …………

        Phillies will attempt to swagger…and they’re good at that……… they have a power pitcher right behind Roy………so they will be fearless…arrogant……. if we don’t spank them hard, right up front, isn’t going to be much fun………. we need to make Friday a tough day……and thats starts soon enough…

  31. crdswmn says:

    I could have gotten a really good seat for a reasonable price on Stub Hub a few minutes ago, but my inner voice told me not to do it. It either means we are going to lose or I should save my money for later games. I will find out soon enough.

  32. Brian Walton says:

    G4 NLDS lineup, assuming Holliday gets through BP OK:

    1. Rafael Furcal (S) SS
    2. Skip Schumaker (L) 2B
    3. Albert Pujols (R) 1B
    4. Lance Berkman (S) RF
    5. Matt Holliday (R) LF
    6. Yadier Molina (R) C
    7. David Freese (R) 3B
    8. Jon Jay (L) CF
    9. Edwin Jackson (R) P

    If Holliday can’t go, then it will be: Furcal, Schumaker LF, Pujols, Berkman, Molina, Freese, Jay, Theriot 2b, Jackson.

    • Brian Walton says:

      Holliday is saying he will be starting. Manuel says he has Cliff Lee available in the pen.

      • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

        He’s bluffing………………. about Lee……….. -120 7.5 …………. He has a hot shot kid and home field …………….. yes he wants to use Halladay to open against the Brewers ……….

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      This is the line up I expected……….Molina remaining 6th tells me that Tony is being sentimental …. Yadi has been doing well, but he is a tactical liability for Holiday………. first inning will be a big one…. I would slap skip on the head………. if he is over swinging early in the count………nothing good will become of it………..this is likely his last game as a Cardinal………and don’t you think that he doesn’t know it………..lets see if he’s a team man……… look to Furcal and Berkman to lead….

      We will see if AP stays a team man…………. all this careful evaluating could turn into crap if they get to Jackson in the first…………..and they will try…………

      • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

        I will draw your attention to this post………… the game is technically already over……….. If Lohse isn’t warming and in by the second…….its over……… Tony is conflicted about where it ends……. all fastballs from Jackson……….

        • JumboShrimp says:

          Another super smart prediction.

          ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

          • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

            That was written when the score was 2 zip Jum…….double/triple/single…no outs……before the mystery strike them out throw them out DP…………. and before it was revealed that Dave was holding the slider while the sun was at work…………………..but you knew all that out because you were following every word………….. you do the play by play on Friday…….. I’m going to the game………….

  33. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    I’m trying to decide how interesting todays play by play will be…………….. are you here RC? BB? CRD?……………I know your here Jumbo………..and the Scout posse………. how deep should we cut?

  34. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Tony must be decisive………..Jackson isn’t going to suddenly get lucky……..these are the sun innings…………….

  35. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Nice and short by skip…………..

  36. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    They are ponding AP and Holiday in………… no adjustments to speak of ………… Jackson is meat…..lets hope Tony doesn’t let him give away 5 before he acts………..

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      Jackson responds with slider..keeping the fastball off the plate………. it worked…….for the bottom of the order……….my concern……..the 2 or 3 run Hr by the 3rd…………

  37. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Jay was taking a little more waggle for himself……… suggests an understanding with the assistant hitting coach……….. based on ???????????????

  38. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Jackson if moving the ball around……….Phillies are chasing a bit………..slider looks good at this point……………Looks like Dave hoped to save that pitch for the second round……….. the slider seems to be the key here……………..

  39. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Another paced swing by Skip………… sobering………….

  40. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Albert had a couple of pitches there to hit…………….. he was too quick……back to anticipating……that leads to the poor swing for the strike out…………….. he is trying to hit Hr’s………….. nice idea…….. anyone that doesn’t see the difference in his swing……..and that it an elective attitude….is missing the point…………..

  41. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    jackson is throwing easy……………… lets get some…….back him……. their swagger is dulling a bit……… Pujols seems pressured today…….wish he would get a grip……they are challenging him…….

  42. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Freese jumps on the hanger………love it……… Roy is giving us a bit here……..wish Jay would shorten up……………. Molina takes the ball out of the infield on pain of death……….

  43. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    5 from Jackson………… he is throwing easy too…………we need to pad him……make them use Lee late if they will……..keep him out of Friday………….. 3/2 isn’t the finale score ………. we need 5 anyway……..

  44. Nutlaw says:

    Pujols’ step forward to gun down Utley at third base instead of taking the force out at first base was as good a heads up play as I’ve seen in a long time.

  45. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Great veteran play by AP………I look for him hit after that……… Good visit by Dave…Jackson deserves praise for his poise……….

  46. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    The pen adventure starts…………we got the 5………..lets hope life is good……….

  47. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Scrabble is just a kid………..I disprove………..

  48. blingboy says:

    Howard always seems to be at the plate.

  49. blingboy says:

    Sweet. No way Motte is gonna regurgitate the lead, no way.

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      The recovery after the 3/0 start was big……… he used the cutter under pressure too…….thats a big steo forward,……………. Dave is definitely back in the dugout………..he was holding off Jacksons slider till the second round………..big mistake…….the strikeout throw out looms large………saved his butt……..

  50. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    jason Motte gets an interview…………….. wow…………what a world,,,,,,,,,,, Phillies are vulnerable……

    Albert stayed back on his last AB……..its not so much whether he goes to right…….its that he is reading the zone………… he needs to do that………… save the turn for the hanger or the change……….

  51. Kansasbirdman says:

    Wooooooooooooooohoooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  52. Nutlaw says:

    I’m having fun watching this team compete. Let’s hope that they can keep it up!

  53. blingboy says:

    I’ve been very impressed with Jay’s D in CF. Maybe his bat will liven up in game 5.

    Nice line put up by Jackson. Great job.

  54. CariocaCardinal says:

    Could Westie (thankfully ) have been more wrong on nearly every thing he said?

    Ditto the above on AP’s throw to 3rd – really smart baseball – almost makes me care whether or not he re-signs with us.

  55. crdswmn says:

    Well I could have gone to that game, but I was happy to stay at home this time. Game 4 of the NLCS falls on my birthday and I am hoping to be able to celebrate it at Busch. The Carp/Halladay matchup is going to be very exciting.

    Now we just need to get the rally squirrel to CBP. Here is the disguise that is planned.

    https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=281762701848313&set=a.128616347162950.17985.127061563985095&type=1&theater

  56. Bw52 says:

    Nice win.Got to be a confidence builder for Freese,Holliday and the team.Good job Cards.

  57. Kansasbirdman says:

    A few points (not that my opinion is worth much):

    I agree that a 4:00 or 5:00 start is a poor decision by MLB for a playoff game. No team is used to that in the regular season let alone postseason. The conditions should be the best possible for such a meaningful gane/series. Why can’t they play games concurrently? (Prob the contract with tbs to show all games that needs to be done differently). However, I think the way it was brought up by some of our players was also a poor decision-it feeds into the narrative that we’re whiners.

    Last nights game kinda came down to one pitch, the one left up by Jaime for the 3 run jack. With hindsight the IBB of ruiz wasn’t such a good decision. But Jaime shouldn’t have been pitching in that half inning anyway, he shoulda been pulled for a pinch hitter(holiday) before when we had two on and jaime was up to bat and it was still 0-0. I give TLR credit for the bp management in game 2 but he takes the blame for not sending up a pinch hitter and that loss. (I know, if JG wouldn’t have left the pitch up it wouldn’t have exposed the decision.

    It will be an epic matchup on Friday, who could have asked for a more exciting couple months of baseball?
    Let’s go Cardinals! Wooooooooooooohooooooooooooooooooo!

    • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

      Solid KB………….

    • blingboy says:

      In hindsight, it would have been better to turn the difficult afternoon conditions into a home field advantage factor for us. If Jay had taken a few dozen late afternoon fly balls in anticipation, to get used to the conditions, the first inning would have been different. Same for everybody else, pitchers and catchers included, as well as some BP. There is no reason why we shouldn’t be way more used to conditions at our own park than the other guys.

      An interesting aside. Babe Ruth was a right fielder but not when playing afternoon games in St. Louis and a few other places. The sun field conditions at Sportsman’s Park were such that the right fielder had a hard time, so Ruth played LF. This was mainly during AL games against the Browns, but the 1926 and 1928 WS are good examples. All afternoon games. In 26 he played game 3 in right for some reason, then 4 and 5 in left. In 28 he played 3 and 4 in left (Yankees swept so no game 5). I’m not sure if he ever whined about it. :)

      • Brian Walton says:

        Did you see if there was a correlation between the handedness of the Yankees pitcher and which OF spot Ruth played? Just a thought…

        Do you really think that more preparation would have helped Jay see balls in the sun better?

        • blingboy says:

          Ruth switching due to the sun in St. Louis was well known at the time. He did play a quarter or a third af all games in left, so maybe you have something. I’ll have to check.

          As to Jay, it wouldn’t have hurt.

        • WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

          That first hit by Rollins was a shot……….. hit the warning track and bounced out, pretty much right over his head………… would have been a very tough play at 8pm……….

          the adjustments made in the second inning freed up the off speed slider and the frequency of the hard slider…………. Jackson was actually more comfortable spotting the fastball off the plate………playing “gotcha” with the slider as his primary strikeout pitch………

          We haven’t had the defensive breakdowns that are so crushing to the teams self image……… I think that is huge………….

          • blingboy says:

            Agree about the solid D and its effect on the psych aspect. They are a different team.

            I’m going on weekend night shift at work, starting Friday evening, 5:30pm 5:30am. son of a ….., @#$%&* ! ! !

  58. blingboy says:

    “”If we were the New York Yankees maybe we would have played an 8 p.m. game today,” Pujols noted well into his postgame interview Tuesday.”

    Read more: http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/article_9d08e76e-af5e-5780-b2f3-665747aa0e76.html#ixzz1a1CEWucb

    Albert makes a good point. I think the TV people have a big say in start times and it would make more sense to maximize the audience in the largest TV markets.

    Friday the game in Philly starts 8:30 east coast time, prime, while the Brewers and snakes have the awkward late afternoon.

    I saw where the Rays drew a small crowd the other day for an afternoon game.

  59. WestCoastbirdWatcher says:

    Looks like Skip will start………no other changes……..I really hope that Molina returns to 7th……. Tony needs to get that straight………..

    http://www.wsex.com/

    Some of you “players” out there……. show me whats wrong with this live betting operation……….

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