Would a hypothetical expansion of the 2009 National League Cy Young Award vote to five places have changed the winner?
National League Cy Young Award voters Keith Law of ESPN.com and Will Carroll of Baseball Prospectus are catching a lot of heat from major segments of the Cardinal Nation for leaving Chris Carpenter off their respective ballots.
The logic goes that these two internet rascals stole the award from Carpenter.
As a refresher, here are the vote totals. In a side point of interest, both San Francisco-area voters agreed with the winner Tim Lincecum that Carpenter was most deserving.
|Tim Lincecum||San Francisco Giants||11||12||9||100|
|Chris Carpenter||St. Louis Cardinals||9||14||7||94|
|Adam Wainwright||St. Louis Cardinals||12||5||15||90|
|Javier Vazquez||Atlanta Braves||1||3|
|Dan Haren||Arizona Diamondbacks||1||1|
Law placed Atlanta’s Javier Vazquez in second and Carroll voted Arizona’s Dan Haren third. In the 5-3-1 scoring system in place, had Carpenter received those two votes instead, the four additional points would have enabled him to only close part of the gap to Lincecum to 100-98 (corrected from first post).
There are others who believe the real rub is the restrictive nature of the voting process. Those who select the Most Valuable Players are allowed to name ten candidates, in a 10-9-etc scoring system, yet the Cy Young process allows just three votes.
Why? Because that is the way it has always been, I guess.
Let’s make a couple of assumptions about how a better process might have worked.
- Voters could name five players, in a 5-4-3-2-1 scoring system.
- We will not change Law’s and Carroll’s votes, instead assuming they would have named Carpenter fourth and the last remaining player fifth.
- All other votes remain the same, with Vazquez arbitrarily getting the other fourth-place votes and Haren at fifth.
Here is how the hypothetical voting would have come out.
The result would have been much closer, but Lincecum would still have been the winner and the order of finish would have remained the same.
Time to accept it and move on.
For background, the detailed votes follow. The first, second and third places are the actuals with my hypothetical fourth- and fifth-place votes added on the right.
|Guy Curtright||At Large Atlanta||Wainwright||Carpenter||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Manny Navarro||Miami Herald:||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Steve Popper||Bergen Record:||Lincecum||Carpenter||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Jim Salisbury||Philadelphia Inquirer:||Wainwright||Lincecum||Carpenter||Vazquez||Haren|
|Ken Rosenthal||FOX Sports.com:||Wainwright||Lincecum||Carpenter||Vazquez||Haren|
|Mark Zuckerman||Washington Times:||Wainwright||Carpenter||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Paul Sullivan||Chicago Tribune:||Lincecum||Wainwright||Carpenter||Vazquez||Haren|
|Toni Ginnetti||Chicago Sun Times:||Wainwright||Lincecum||Carpenter||Vazquez||Haren|
|Will Carroll||Baseball Prospectus:||Wainwright||Lincecum||Haren||Carpenter||Vazquez|
|Tom Groeschen||Cincinnati Enquirer:||Lincecum||Carpenter||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Bill Madden||New York Daily News:||Wainwright||Lincecum||Carpenter||Vazquez||Haren|
|Zachary Levine||Houston Chronicle:||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Susan Shemanske||Racine Journal Times:||Carpenter||Wainwright||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Dennis Semrau||Madison Capital Times:||Lincecum||Carpenter||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|John Perrotto||Ogden Newspapers:||Lincecum||Carpenter||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Chuck Finder||Pittsburgh Post Gazette:||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Derrick Goold||St. Louis Post Dispatch:||Wainwright||Carpenter||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Bernie Miklasz||St. Louis Post Dispatch:||Carpenter||Wainwright||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Nick Piecoro||Arizona Republic:||Lincecum||Wainwright||Carpenter||Vazquez||Haren|
|Sarah Trotto||Arizona Daily Star:||Lincecum||Carpenter||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Jack Etkin||At Large Denver||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Patrick Saunders||Denver Post:||Wainwright||Carpenter||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Doug Padilla||L.A. Newspaper Group:||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Randy Youngman||Orange County Register:||Wainwright||Carpenter||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Scott Miller||CBS Sports.com:||Lincecum||Carpenter||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Chris Jenkins||San Diego Union Tribune:||Wainwright||Carpenter||Lincecum||Vazquez||Haren|
|Paul Gutierrez||Sacramento Bee:||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
|Henry Schulman||San Francisco Chronicle:||Carpenter||Lincecum||Wainwright||Vazquez||Haren|
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